Not wishing to get people’s hopes up, but this interesting ATel #17041 was released just a few moments ago.
The spectrum from the ARAS database showing the increase in H alpha emission taken on 7th of February that they refer to is mine, though I have no connection with the team. (If this was my ATel I would definitely be putting a question mark at the end of the title !)
There are actually high resolution H alpha spectra close to all three dates in ARAS database
https://aras-databas…abase/tcrb.htm
See attached. Mine showing the increase in emission is in black.
I am sceptical about any predictions of TCrB base on accretion rate though which varies continuously in all timescales. For example attached is a spectrum in the ARAS database from from Francois Teyssier taken in 2021 when it was in a continuous high state which shows the same H alpha intensity as my Feb 7th spectrum. Of course then again it might blow tonight ! We do urgently need more spectra though and unfortunately I have been clouded out since.
Cheers
Robin
