I don’t want to ‘cry wolf’ here but my photometry from last night, and the latest I’ve seen on the AAVSO site, might suggest the awaited outburst might be starting?
My last night’s R mag has jumped up since a couple of nights ago and my V mag is higher than recent ones from others. It might be nothing!
Well it was certainly a little brighter this morning visually, so the next 24-48 hrs will tell. It’s approached magnitude 11.0 a few times since the April outburst and returned to it’s normal state, so it’s anybodys guess what will happen next.
I captured 120 exposures in both R and V last night here in the UK and also in Spain. I’ve processed one set of V and one of V so far. See the attached light curves from both AAVSO and BAA databases. I’ve caught the rise right in the middle by the looks of things.