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John RogersParticipant
Nick, Thanks for posting that fine video record of the event, at least of the northern, not-too-high-up parts of it! It shows what I saw visually from near Cambridge (and it’s good to see that not much happened during the hour that I went indoors to warm up and recharge the camera). –John.
John RogersParticipantYes, their historical account is essentially the same as in my 1995 book, which fortunately they do cite thoroughly — and brought up to date, of course. The idea that the GRS formed from a South Tropical Disturbance was also proposed in my book. What’s new, and very welcome, is that they have done computational simulations that show this to be physically plausible.
John RogersParticipantGrant Privett & Nick Quinn, well done in capturing JUICE, so far out on its journey!
John RogersParticipantFantastic to know that JUICE is on its way safely, even though it will require four flybys of Earth or Venus before it really heads for Jupiter!
John RogersParticipantThanks for researching and posting this analysis. So from your charts (and exact dates that you have sent me), it appears that the recent opposition was the closest for 70 years due to a combination of the 60-year cycle in perihelion distance, and an ~86-year cycle in the time of Jupiter’s apparition in which perihelion occurs. The smallest perihelion distance in the present 60-year cycle was actually in 2010, but this occurred far from opposition (and similarly in 2070). In 2022/23, perihelion distance is about average, but it occurs closer to opposition than average. In 2129, a close perihelion will occur close to opposition, so the distance from Earth will be even less.
John RogersParticipantHi Dave, I replied to your post yesterday but my comment has not appeared. So, to summarise briefly, the Jupiter Section uses amateur images intensively for the reports which I post on our Section web pages, and for pro-am collaborations. Plenty of info is on our Section web pages and in our annual reports in the October issues of the Journal. We don’t make a public global database of Jupiter images because there are other sites that do that already.
John RogersParticipantThanks David.
John RogersParticipantThanks, William and John, for these very informative replies.
John RogersParticipantHi William,
Many thanks — I’m impressed that you were able to identify them and that they were different, military satellites.
Do you know if it is possible to predict these flares from them?
Cheers, John.
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